Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.573045 1.817371 2.086125 2.403556 2.768137 3.173684 3.658976
2025-04-13 1.136008 1.429941 1.780807 2.230084 2.789787 3.463846 4.337224
2025-04-20 0.930690 1.262508 1.687823 2.272009 3.052819 4.059832 5.457046
2025-04-27 0.798980 1.158891 1.650493 2.369293 3.391980 4.793441 6.859205
2025-05-04 0.681850 1.051079 1.585360 2.412086 3.656638 5.457939 8.261509
2025-05-11 0.584369 0.952542 1.514189 2.429432 3.880003 6.086465 9.694506
2025-05-18 0.488101 0.838084 1.398851 2.357640 3.951397 6.489571 10.833518
2025-05-25 0.402618 0.725804 1.267963 2.237471 3.922213 6.722308 11.721595
2025-06-01 0.352632 0.665054 1.211913 2.231239 4.076626 7.266691 13.188197
2025-06-08 0.305155 0.600739 1.139417 2.183741 4.149078 7.674954 14.464376
2025-06-15 0.287839 0.589532 1.160159 2.307180 4.544020 8.695945 16.964219
2025-06-22 0.264332 0.562426 1.146764 2.362891 4.816884 9.522831 19.200695
2025-06-29 0.236410 0.523159 1.106310 2.364092 4.992622 10.204416 21.281094
2025-07-06 0.200339 0.461043 1.011004 2.240103 4.899638 10.350443 22.318945
2025-07-13 0.186305 0.444681 1.008625 2.311299 5.222545 11.375161 25.298548
2025-07-20 0.177250 0.438108 1.026332 2.428646 5.660607 12.693603 29.072983
2025-07-27 0.164442 0.420643 1.017136 2.483834 5.967650 13.768409 32.452586
2025-08-03 0.151015 0.399469 0.996254 2.508583 6.207772 14.724028 35.685191
2025-08-10 0.133552 0.365267 0.939390 2.438541 6.213858 15.147910 37.738573
2025-08-17 0.115587 0.326719 0.866087 2.316645 6.075702 15.214947 38.944135
2025-08-24 0.105641 0.308028 0.840170 2.311586 6.228725 15.997037 41.997014
2025-08-31 0.094821 0.285126 0.799979 2.263232 6.263620 16.492458 44.392821
2025-09-07 0.092529 0.286204 0.824053 2.391586 6.782561 18.269836 50.310615